Asian markets have posted a better than expected performance in 2017, as share price returns have been supported by stronger earnings growth in technology stocks while a recovery in commodity prices benefited cyclical and industrial companies.
Macro trends have been stable this year in terms of rising growth expectations, declining political uncertainty and EM outperforming developed markets (DM). More recently, inflation expectations and the so-called “Trump trades” have consistently deflated. Will it last?
India has had a strong start to 2017. After a shaky period at the end of 2016 when the reformist government took the radical step of withdrawing 86% of the currency from circulation overnight to tackle the ‘black economy’, economic growth has recovered and equities have rallied.